utah housing market predictions 2022

Theyre both confident Utahs job market is strong enough to avoid sweeping foreclosures and that housing demand will continue due to the states rapid growth and pervasive home shortage. Home prices skyrocket amid early pandemic months due to bidding wars and a shortage of active listings. All rights reserved. So many factors come into play. The number of newly listed homes was 1,954 and up 1.4% year over year. Historically low-interest rates, job growth, and pandemic conditions made Utah a highly attractive state for both homebuyers and investors. Comparatively speaking, I make more money than my parents combined income at my age and still cant afford to buy something at a significantly lower quality than what they were able to purchase at that same age, Branca said. Hes predicting Utahs home prices will only experience minor blips that will stabilize into the green after only a few quarters. Hes employed as a professional actor and director of marketing and advertising at Hale Center Theater Orem, as well as director of communications at the Salt Lake Acting Company. Year over year, prices rose in four markets but pulled back in the other three. Focus on the unbelievable increase you have gained over the past 10, 5, or even 2 years! By Eskics calculations, 79% of Utah households couldnt afford the states median priced home as of the third quarter of 2022. Historical Utah real estate data and trends are included below the latest update. They didnt go down.. Housing prices are deemed overvalued when their local incomes, job market, and economy do not support the sale prices. However, the sale volume has decreased significantly in the past year, with 3,219 houses sold in September 2021, representing a 26.7% decline in year-over-year comparisons. , The direction and pace at which housing supply changes indicate whether the options for buyers are increasing or decreasing. This was down 45% compared to the same period the previous year and down 27.8% compared to the third quarter of 2022. Considering how crazy the market was in 2020 and 2021, here is the Utah housing market forecast 2022 edition. It just seems so odd to be in such a comfortable position and not have that as a practical option. A realty sign at a property in the Salt Lake City on Friday, Jan. 6, 2023. So its really tough to say, but I think its going to be minimal negative, or negative positive, Yun said. It was a year in which a boiling hot housing market saw historic deterioration, as Fortune put it. Here are Utahs metropolitan areas with the hottest housing markets for volume. , Homes that sold above list price likely received multiple offers. Like, they were not outrageous houses or homes that would have been that (price) five or 10 years ago.. A high or growing percentage of homes selling above list. Thats when buyers found their affordability ceiling. How could I possibly give an objective opinion? The music stopped. Thats not good news for affordability or Utahs housing shortage, which they calculate hit 31,000 units after the big home building boom of 2021. Here are the latest figures, The Wests housing crunch began over a decade ago. In the final quarter of 2022, 5,145 homes sold in the areas covered by this report. Agents receive this question at least 10 to 15 times per week. There were only 31.8% of homes that had price drops, up from 10.0% of homes in January last year. Median home price for Salt Lake residents over the last year was $564,062. As mortgage rates are at record highs in 20 years by 7.08%. A year from now whoevers right has to shave their beard off.. This speedometer reflects the state of the regions real estate market using housing inventory, price gains, home sales, interest rates, and larger economic factors. The rising inventory, coupled with listing price growth dropping below 10% for the first time in a year, offers some positives for homebuyers, Realtor.com stated in its report, as they may have more options and more time to make a decision on a home purchase.. Market time rose 22 days from the third quarter of 2022. The Utah housing market benefits from the states attractivity, which features a strong economy and job market. There were 73 homes sold in December this . Then the rates hit and they were left holding the bag, Eskic said. Utah Housing Market Trends Q4 2022 According to the report by Windermere Real Estate Chief Economist Matthew Gardner, the Utah real estate market has experienced a slowdown in the pace of job growth, with the state adding 43,300 jobs over the past 12 months at an annual rate of 2.6%. A low or shrinking percentage of homes selling above list price suggests that the market is becoming less competitive.. Heres what volatile mortgage rates are doing to your purchasing power, Stuck between rent hikes and high home prices, this family is scraping by to afford a home, still cant afford to buy something at a significantly lower quality, How the housing market is making boomers richer and millennials poorer, how many other Utahns the market has priced out, 79% of Utah households couldnt afford the states median priced home, Why two housing experts disagree on how much Utah home prices will drop in 2023, National Association of Realtors chief economist Lawrence Yun, What state lawmakers are doing to address Utahs housing crisis, Department of Labor reports that child labor has increased by nearly 70% since 2018, Feds hardwire child care benefits to $39 billion in CHIPS Act funding, Grit and circumstance: Bestselling author Angela Duckworth brings her wisdom to BYU, The starter home in Utah is extinct: How first-time homebuyers could get 20K for new homes, How a new service aims to help teens remove explicit internet images. Utah benefits from a strong economy, and, despite Utah housing prices being higher than the national average, there is still more demand for houses than available inventory. Realtor.com recently named the Salt Lake City region as the expected No. Homes that sold above list price likely received multiple offers. Average home value: $562,693. Some buy-and-hold while others enter the rental market for passive income. This was marginally below the rate of the prior year but impressive all the same. 1 housing market in the nation for 2022. Compared to the third quarter of 2022, average home prices fell in every area other than Summit County, where they rose .8%. These two organizations along with Freddie Mac and the National Association of Realtors predict that rates will steadily rise throughout 2022. Historically speaking, real estate only becomes more expensive over time. Will it pop or deflate?, A U.S. housing bubble is brewing. can also indicate whether homes are lingering on the market or being sold faster than sellers are listing them. South Carolina Housing Market 2023 Report, North Carolina Housing Market 2023 Report. This data does not reflect actual moves. Forecast for 2022 High prices, likely interest rates increases, listing . increase. If youre looking to buy or sell real estate in Utah, you want to ensure youre working with a real estate agent who can help you navigate the rapidly changing conditions of the local housing markets. AirDNA vs. Mashvisor: Which One Is the Better Source of Airbnb Data? Lake Powell can drop your jaw around every bend of the gorgeous reservoir with 200-foot cliffs. The median price of a home in the United States is currently $518,200. Salt Lake City, Utah Just like Utah peaches Forecast home price change by May 2022: 23.5% Local professional: Dave Robison, broker and owner of goBE Realty, and former president of Utah Association of Realtors and Salt Lake Board of Realtors What makes the Salt Lake City market poised for growth? Site Map | FastExpert, inc. 2021. The discussion between Eskic and Wood was moderated by Clark Ivory, CEO of Ivory Homes, which is Utahs largest homebuilder. Dont focus on the loss you may believe you are experiencing if you sell today. However, it is also the third-most populous city in Utah, with a population of 116,961. He has a background in sales and marketing and construction as a Project Superintendent. Below is the latest Utah housing market trends analysis. The direction and pace at which home prices are changing are indicators of the strength of the housing market and. The 2021 Utah housing market will be long remembered for its record-breaking price increases. Inflation is outpacing most salaries, decreasing the value of the dollar. Predictions include price drops, terrible consolidation, but better buyer balance, 2022 was a roller coaster year for the housing market, growing number of experts and firms are predicting U.S. home prices will fall, nations median home price ballooned by over 41%, The great reset of 2022: The year the Fed had no mercy on the housing market, U.S. navigating pandemic housing bubble, Fed chairman says. Eskic said it all comes down to affordability. Affirming this projection, Wood asserts . Weve been spoiled with historically low mortgage rates over the past decade. Wood and Eskic expect a staggering 40% to 50% drop in the number of new homes produced in Utah over the next two years. Why is it taking two weeks, a month, six weeks?. We went through a real roller coaster ride the past couple of years mainly because of the pandemic. In January 2023, there were 8,551 homes for sale in Utah, up 81.9% year over year.The number of newly listed homes was 1,954 and up 1.4% year over year. But by the end of the year, well stabilize and well be flat, Wood said. 2022 housing market forecast of $518,200. 28.7% of homes sold above the asking price, reaching a median sale price of $525,000, which represents a 7.8% increase in the past year. Its going to be tough for real estate agents. Hang in there. Like Salt Lake City, the West Valley City housing market is competitive, with listed properties receiving four offers on average and selling after 41 days on the market. I am not concerned by this and expect the market to moderate as it comes to terms with higher financing costs. Oakland Real Estate Market: To Invest or Not to Invest? If you are investing in real estate properties to rent out as vacation homes, find out the short-term rental laws in the city and county youre considering. But its not the bubble we know, The Wests sharp housing market correction: Heres how fast home prices have fallen in 4 months, Housing market is correcting but Utahs affordability crisis isnt going away. Here are their year-over-year predictions for the Salt Lake City housing market in 2022: Forecasted home sales change: +15.2%. With a $105,000 annual income, Branca said he was approved to buy a $550,000 home. It has been one of if not the most competitive markets in the US in 2021. Utah home prices remain significantly higher than the national average. Wallethub found Utah is the. The Utah housing market is poised for economic growth, continually making it a desirable place to live, bringing with it a demand for homes, straining supply, and causing prices to remain and increase in value. Therefore, experts expect that Utah home prices will slow down their staggering growth and may decline in some areas. According to Realtor.com data, the current median days listed in Utah is 52, the highest since the onset of the pandemic, but still a ways away from pre-pandemic figures. Areas of Utah State are also referred to as Northern Utah, SLC, Wasatch Range, and Park City. There are currently 8,551 residential homes for sale in the United States.. If you dont see our email and have already checked your spam or junk folder, please give us a call at 1 (800) 319-0511. As Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate, Matthew Gardner is responsible for analyzing and interpreting economic data and its impact on the real estate market on both a local and national level. The home was 2,500 square feet, four bedrooms, two and a half bathrooms, sat on a quarter acre lot, and they lived well within their means on a $1,000 a month mortgage payment. Even this far into 2022 with the mortgage rate hikes, Utah remains one of the hottest markets. The question is, how far will that correction run and what will it mean for home prices in 2023? Click here to browse our Real Estate Agent Directory and contact top-rated agents in your area! The migration during the Pandemic contributed to the increased demand in the Utah housing market and an increase in housing prices. In its December 2022 monthly report, Realtor.com said its monthly housing data showed a housing market thats continuing to cool, with the number of homes for sale up by 54.7% compared to the same time last year. Other Regional Data. At the very least, folks can expect some sort of moderation over the next few years but not a decline. Even as mortgage rates in recent weeks have ticked down slightly, economists are expecting higher rates to continue to dampen sales throughout 2023. The governor said his proposed budget should translate to about 1,100 new low-income units across the state. Love hiking, biking, or camping? Others argue the apartments meet the growing demand for high-end housing in Salt Lake City, it's the latest development in what's been an expensive year to find and afford a home. The states economy is still performing very well, but this is not enough to push the housing market forward at the pace we saw during the height of the pandemic. The party was over. Eskic has a more bearish outlook. While the market in Utah is feeling a correction similar to the rest of the Nation, it weathered the 2008 recession relatively well and is expected to maintain a strong housing market. Sales fell across the board compared to both the fourth quarter of 2021 and the third quarter of 2022. So Branca said he made the decision to back out of the market, hoping to maybe consider buying again when interest rates and potentially prices come down. RELATED: 'It's daunting:' How housing costs are affecting Utah's ski resort staff Listing prices, rents, and mortgage rates are all expected to climb while income rises. Renters have seen a steady, heady increase in rents over the past year, making their window for buying even more narrow. increase. This is the MOST ACCURATE UTAH Housing Market Forecast for 2022. Utahs housing experts disagree over how much home prices will decline, though they remain confident that 2023 will not bring a full blown, 2007-like crash, and that Utahs strong job economy will still largely insulate it from any negative impacts of a recession. Even before COVID swept across the world, the Utah housing market was already out of reach for 63% of renter households. Some, however, say the market needs this correction to reach a more healthy equilibrium between sellers and buyers as well as healthier affordability. Therefore, with the current small but significant price change, a seller will realize enormous overall growth and equity increase. The jarring pace of Utah's housing market and its impact on Utahns "is why we think these investments are so important," Cox said. I think buyers will adjust, for one thing, Wood said, pointing to a chart that he said showed its very rare in Utah for housing prices to decline.. While Utah is below the national average in many areas, home prices have managed to remain strong. However, because of the stiff competition, Utahns who are looking to buy property should prepare themselves not just financially and physically but also mentally. I have moved the needle accordingly. Thats a good thing, because they were overpriced anyway, right? Perry said. between 2021-12-31 and 2022-12-31. Nationwide, 25% of homebuyers searched to move to a different metro area between Nov '22 - Jan '23. When we look at just how much weve peaked earlier this year, I think well start seeing negative year-over-year readings late winter, early spring, Eskic said. The rental market is not affordable and is experiencing high rental prices. But, we had a recession then, Dejan, we had a recession. This trend continued through the pandemic resulting in record-high home prices and rental rate growth. 2020 further increased that number to almost 73% as median home sales prices reached $380,000. Since the pandemic began, housing prices in the Beehive State have skyrocketed to the point that more than 50% of households can no longer afford to buy median-priced properties in the state. On average, the number of homes sold was down 34.7% year over year and there were 1,769 homes sold in January this year, down 2,712 homes sold in January last year. Price forecasts for this year (are) somewhat uncertain, Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, told the Salt Lake Board of Realtors crowd on Friday. Yes! Or if its little more meaningful declines, a 10% decline, take advantage of those because 10 years from now youll see much better conditions.. Utah Housing Market Overview What is the housing market like right now? Thats the story of 2022. We also observe a lengthening of the time spent on the market and a decrease in both new listings and sales, which points towards a general slowing down of the Utah housing market. This would place . As for interest rates, Wood noted forecasts vary widely, anywhere from 5% to 9%, but he personally expects rates to bounce between 6.5% and 7.5% in 2023. The average time it took to sell a home in the counties covered by this report rose 27 days compared to the same period in 2021. So youll find the deals with the homebuilders, but youre not going to find the deals on (existing) homes, Eskic said. All areas saw average market time rise compared to the third quarter of 2022 as well as the fourth quarter of 2021. How far will they fall? Hes predicting Utah home prices will drop 9% year over year in 2023. Its going to be tough for home builders, Wood said. Listing activity fell 8.3% from the third quarter, but that wasnt surprising given seasonal factors. And while the days of sub-3% rates are gone, they are not expected to go exorbitantly high. So Branca wasnt expecting to buy his dream home. A low or shrinking percentage of homes selling above list price suggests that the market is becoming less competitive. Property values will likely decline over the next 6 to 12 months and then flatten in the Utah housing market. These numbers are nothing to worry about, as they indicate a return to a more balanced housing market in Utah. The direction and pace at which housing supply changes indicate whether the options for buyers are increasing or decreasing. Contact Us, Real Estate Blog While this may be good news for home buyers, rates will still be higher than they have become accustomed to. There are currently 8,551 residential homes for sale in the United States. However, they expect the market to enter a correction that will persist into 2023 thanks to the Federal Reserves aggressive rate hikes to combat inflation. Utah house prices are significantly higher than the national average, and local salaries are not keeping up with the price growth and inflation. Median List Price $524,900 $285/sqft Based on all homes listed in January 2023. Search and compare real estate agents near you. What is the housing market like right now? The Typical U.S. Home Changes Hands Every 12 Years, Down From 2020 Peak, Market Recovery Hampered by High Housing Costs, Low Supply in January, Housing Market Update: Sale Prices Flatten, Demand for Mortgages Falls as Rates Climb, Housing Market Predictions 2023: A Post-Pandemic Sales Slump Will Push Home Prices Down For the First Time in a Decade, Redfin Predicts a More Balanced Housing Market in 2022, Housing-Market Mayhem: U.S. Home Sales Likely to Hit Record High of $2.5 Trillion In 2021, REDFIN IS COMMITTED TO AND ABIDES BY THE FAIR HOUSING ACT AND EQUAL OPPORTUNITY ACT. Even with the recent slowdown, a correctly priced home will sell, and it will sell with record equity growth over the last 10-year average. The average months of supply is 3 months, up 3 year over year. It will test their mettle and resolve as it will be an exercise in decision-making and patience. If they hadnt been so aggressive in 2020 and 2021, wed be talking about unemployment now rather than inflation. He also noted it was really Congress that juiced the economy with so much one-time stimulus money, not the Fed. Utahs housing market has a tight supply, and while we may see prices decrease somewhat, its not likely to experience a significant decline in housing values. Updated January 2023: By searching, you agree to the Terms of Use, andPrivacy Policy. After prices peaked in May, Salt Lake Countys median single family home price hit $650,000. Already have a FastExpert account? From peak-to-trough, he expects prices to decline by a percentage somewhere in the mid to low teens, depending on interest rates. And to Branca, that meant home ownership became completely inaccessible.. Joining Good Morning Utah to share what to expect for Utah's housing market for 2022 is Ryan Kirkham with Summit Sotheby's and Utah realestate.com. price indicates that the housing market is competitive and bidding wars are becoming more common. Forecasted home price change: +8.5%. Realtor.com isn't the only group offering a strong forecast for the Salt Lake City real estate scene in 2022. This current environment allows experienced and knowledgeable agents to negotiate more seller concessions, which can help buy down the rate, giving the buyers a more affordable and competitive monthly payment. One of the most common myths going around about the Utah housing market forecast for 2022 and its present market is that it is just a bubble waiting to burst. So from that affordability perspective, I think its going to keep the market from accelerating back to have a more positive price appreciation., Wood said thats a good point, but added the 70s and early 80s saw interest rates that hit as high as 18%. Matthew has over 30 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K. Sign In. If the agent you hired through FastExpert does not perform up to your expectations, we will help resolve the problem. Months supply of inventory: 3 up from 1 in September 2021. But when mortgage rates ticked up, he said it quickly became apparent that he wasnt going to be able to buy a home with, say, a $1,600 monthly mortgage payment. The surge in home prices across the country resulted in many thinking homes were sold for more than theyre worth. West Valley City is assimilated to a suburb of Salt Lake City, but it is also the second most populous city in the state, with 140,230 residents. Where do we go from here? Over the next 12 to 18 months, Eskic said he expects homebuilders to offer big discounts. Not necessarily dramatic price drops, but more buyer incentives and rate buydowns, perhaps offers to finish basements. Inventory is on its way up, with 13,795 homes for sale in September 2022, 25,3% more than the previous year. Therefore, the impact of increasing interest rates has been felt more in the state than in other parts of the country. 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